Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Bozak 53.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 26-20 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 52.6%
Defensive zone
Larsson 87.8%
Neutral zone
Larsson 66.6%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Larsson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
26
(46 meetings)
20
26
Larsson
Bozak
Last 10: Larsson 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
8
Larsson
Bozak
12 total
Defensive Zone
Even
7
7
Larsson
Bozak
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
9
11
Larsson
Bozak
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
53.7% (9,596)
-3.2%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
55.2% (1,990)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
48.0% (1,094)
-4.2%
On power play, Bozak has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Larsson
Bozak
Home
51.2% (2,493)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Larsson
Bozak
P1
51.6%
53.2%
P2
49.7%
52.8%
P3
47.2%
54.5%
OT
52.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 12:25 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 02:11 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 18:04 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |