Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 50.6% vs Bozak 53.9% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 92.6%
Defensive zone
Larsson 83.6%
Neutral zone
Bozak 62.5%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Larsson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Larsson
Bozak
Last 6: Larsson 4-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Larsson
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (773)
55.4% (719)
-1.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
45.1% (51)
-45.1%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (218)
50.0% (60)
-10.1%
On power play, Bozak has a +45.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Larsson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Larsson shoots left. Bozak is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Larsson
Bozak
Home
51.2% (490)
55.5% (443)
Away
50.1% (503)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Larsson
Bozak
P1
50.6%
53.3%
P2
53.1%
54.7%
P3
48.3%
55.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 18:04 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |