Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Larsson wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.4% vs Bozak 54.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 61.8%
Defensive zone
Larsson 86.8%
Neutral zone
Larsson 73.1%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Larsson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Larsson
Bozak
Last 6: Larsson 1-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Larsson
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Larsson
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Larsson
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (506)
57.3% (483)
-8.9%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
57.5% (73)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
42.3% (104)
+2.6%
On even strength, Bozak has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Larsson is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Larsson shoots left. Bozak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Larsson
Bozak
Home
51.9% (335)
57.8% (332)
Away
44.4% (333)
52.1% (328)
By Period
Larsson
Bozak
P1
48.7%
52.7%
P2
48.3%
55.6%
P3
48.1%
56.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 02:11 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |