Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.1% vs Graovac 48.1% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Graovac 71.6%
Defensive zone
Larsson 74.4%
Neutral zone
Graovac 53.9%
Result
Tyler Graovac favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Larsson
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Larsson
Graovac
Last 5: Larsson 1-4 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
0
2
Larsson
Graovac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Graovac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Graovac
0
2
Larsson
Graovac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (501)
47.5% (341)
+1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Larsson is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Larsson shoots left. Graovac is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Larsson
Graovac
Home
51.7% (265)
48.6% (181)
Away
46.3% (268)
46.3% (162)
By Period
Larsson
Graovac
P1
58.8%
42.4%
P2
44.1%
46.8%
P3
44.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
44.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |