Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Graovac 47.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Graovac 79.8%
Defensive zone
Larsson 72.8%
Neutral zone
Graovac 58.2%
Result
Tyler Graovac favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Larsson
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Larsson
Graovac
Last 5: Larsson 1-4 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
0
2
Larsson
Graovac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Graovac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Graovac
0
2
Larsson
Graovac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
46.5% (497)
+4.0%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
50.0% (4)
-2.3%
On even strength, Larsson has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Graovac is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Larsson
Graovac
Home
51.2% (2,493)
47.6% (233)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
45.5% (268)
By Period
Larsson
Graovac
P1
51.6%
41.7%
P2
49.7%
47.4%
P3
47.2%
51.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |