Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Larsson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 50.6% vs Johnson 48.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 89.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 86.4%
Neutral zone
Johnson 58.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
Larsson
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Larsson
Johnson
Last 5: Larsson 1-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
4
Larsson
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (773)
49.4% (399)
+4.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
52.9% (34)
-52.9%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (218)
37.5% (40)
+2.4%
On power play, Johnson has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Larsson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Larsson shoots left. Johnson is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Larsson
Johnson
Home
51.2% (490)
49.8% (229)
Away
50.1% (503)
47.5% (244)
By Period
Larsson
Johnson
P1
50.6%
45.0%
P2
53.1%
49.1%
P3
48.3%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |