Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.7%). Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Johnson 49.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 73.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 76.0%
Neutral zone
Larsson 52.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Larsson
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
16
(29 meetings)
13
16
Larsson
Johnson
Last 10: Larsson 3-7 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
4
12
Larsson
Johnson
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
7
1
Larsson
Johnson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
3
Larsson
Johnson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
49.8% (5,396)
+0.7%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
54.6% (885)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
42.3% (707)
+1.5%
On power play, Johnson has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Larsson
Johnson
Home
51.2% (2,493)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Larsson
Johnson
P1
51.6%
50.1%
P2
49.7%
50.6%
P3
47.2%
48.4%
OT
52.3%
42.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 1 | 04:47 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 2 | 12:08 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 08:54 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 05:30 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |