Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larsson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 50.6% vs Seguin 53.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 70.3%
Defensive zone
Larsson 92.5%
Neutral zone
Larsson 66.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Larsson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Larsson
Seguin
Last 5: Larsson 0-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Larsson
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Larsson
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (773)
53.9% (996)
-0.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
56.4% (94)
-56.4%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (218)
52.1% (165)
-12.2%
On power play, Seguin has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Larsson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Larsson shoots left. Seguin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Larsson
Seguin
Home
51.2% (490)
55.9% (633)
Away
50.1% (503)
51.8% (622)
By Period
Larsson
Seguin
P1
50.6%
55.8%
P2
53.1%
51.7%
P3
48.3%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |