Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Seguin 53.6% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 52.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 83.4%
Neutral zone
Larsson 64.1%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Larsson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Larsson
Seguin
Last 10: Larsson 2-8 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
Larsson
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Larsson
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
5
Larsson
Seguin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
53.7% (8,071)
-3.2%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
55.9% (810)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
49.3% (762)
-5.5%
On power play, Seguin has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Larsson
Seguin
Home
51.2% (2,493)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Larsson
Seguin
P1
51.6%
52.8%
P2
49.7%
53.3%
P3
47.2%
54.7%
OT
52.3%
54.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 10:13 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 16:46 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 28, 2013 | 2 | 12:54 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |