Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 50.1%). Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Rask 50.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 27-25 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 80.2%
Defensive zone
Larsson 77.3%
Neutral zone
Rask 53.2%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Larsson
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
25
(52 meetings)
27
25
Larsson
Rask
Last 10: Larsson 6-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
3
16
Larsson
Rask
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
11
3
Larsson
Rask
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
13
6
Larsson
Rask
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
50.0% (4,428)
+0.5%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
54.3% (363)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
35.2% (54)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Larsson
Rask
Home
51.2% (2,493)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Larsson
Rask
P1
51.6%
50.7%
P2
49.7%
48.9%
P3
47.2%
50.7%
OT
52.3%
52.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:19 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:39 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Victor Rask |