Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Rask 50.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 80.6%
Defensive zone
Larsson 59.6%
Neutral zone
Rask 57.3%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Larsson
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larsson
Rask
Last 5: Larsson 3-2 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Larsson
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Rask
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
50.6% (172)
-3.9%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
50.0% (4)
+11.1%
On power play, Larsson has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Larsson shoots left. Rask is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Larsson
Rask
Home
52.1% (167)
53.7% (82)
Away
42.4% (255)
47.9% (94)
By Period
Larsson
Rask
P1
50.0%
56.0%
P2
46.7%
47.5%
P3
42.6%
49.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:19 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:39 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |