Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 50.6% vs Rask 47.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 89.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 91.8%
Neutral zone
Larsson 51.3%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Larsson
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Larsson
Rask
Last 5: Larsson 2-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Larsson
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Rask
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (773)
46.6% (397)
+7.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
58.1% (31)
-58.1%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (218)
50.0% (2)
-10.1%
On power play, Rask has a +58.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Larsson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Larsson shoots left. Rask is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Larsson
Rask
Home
51.2% (490)
50.0% (202)
Away
50.1% (503)
45.2% (228)
By Period
Larsson
Rask
P1
50.6%
51.1%
P2
53.1%
43.2%
P3
48.3%
48.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Victor Rask |