Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sill on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 51.0% vs Sill 46.9% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sill 64.8%
Defensive zone
Larsson 64.8%
Neutral zone
Sill 57.1%
Result
Zach Sill favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Larsson
Sill
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Larsson
Sill
Last 5: Larsson 2-3 Sill
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Sill
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sill
0
1
Larsson
Sill
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sill
1
2
Larsson
Sill
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Sill
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (696)
42.0% (69)
+9.3%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
100.0% (1)
-43.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (31)
42.9% (7)
-1.0%
On power play, Sill has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sill shoots left. Larsson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Larsson shoots left. Sill is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Larsson
Sill
Home
51.1% (356)
37.5% (56)
Away
51.1% (403)
57.1% (21)
By Period
Larsson
Sill
P1
54.6%
50.0%
P2
51.9%
40.7%
P3
46.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
51.2%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.1%
Sill
42.0%▼
44.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Zach Sill |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Zach Sill |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Zach Sill |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |