Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sill on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Sill 45.3% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sill 69.3%
Defensive zone
Larsson 53.2%
Neutral zone
Sill 57.0%
Result
Zach Sill favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Larsson
Sill
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Larsson
Sill
Last 6: Larsson 2-4 Sill
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Sill
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sill
0
1
Larsson
Sill
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sill
1
3
Larsson
Sill
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Sill
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
44.5% (220)
+6.0%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
50.0% (4)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
36.1% (36)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sill shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Sill is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Larsson
Sill
Home
51.2% (2,493)
45.4% (141)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
41.2% (119)
By Period
Larsson
Sill
P1
51.6%
48.9%
P2
49.7%
41.7%
P3
47.2%
39.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Sill
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Zach Sill |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Zach Sill |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Zach Sill |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 16:41 | Neutral | Zach Sill |