Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Turcotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Beecher shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 53.2% vs Beecher 46.4% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beecher 52.5%
Defensive zone
Beecher 80.0%
Neutral zone
Beecher 63.7%
Result
John Beecher favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Turcotte
Beecher
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Turcotte
Beecher
Last 5: Turcotte 1-4 Beecher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Turcotte
Beecher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
0
2
Turcotte
Beecher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beecher
0
1
Turcotte
Beecher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Beecher
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (460)
45.5% (132)
+8.0%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
0.0% (1)
+70.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
40.6% (32)
+59.4%
On power play, Turcotte has a +70.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beecher shoots left. Turcotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Turcotte shoots left. Beecher is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Beecher
Home
53.2% (263)
47.6% (82)
Away
54.8% (208)
41.0% (83)
By Period
Turcotte
Beecher
P1
57.0%
46.2%
P2
59.6%
34.8%
P3
44.1%
55.3%
Final 5 min
52.6%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
38.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | John Beecher |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 11:33 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |