Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Beecher on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beecher wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 51.7% vs Tavares 57.7% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.2%
Defensive zone
Beecher 80.6%
Neutral zone
Beecher 50.0%
Result
John Beecher favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Beecher
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Beecher
Tavares
Last 6: Beecher 3-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
3
1
Beecher
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Beecher
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (458)
57.7% (998)
-4.9%
Power Play
87.5% (8)
60.5% (271)
+27.0%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (76)
56.4% (39)
-13.0%
On power play, Beecher has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Beecher is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (317).
Beecher shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Beecher
Tavares
Home
53.5% (273)
59.7% (610)
Away
50.6% (269)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Beecher
Tavares
P1
51.1%
57.2%
P2
52.3%
58.5%
P3
52.6%
59.4%
Final 5 min
54.0%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
48.0%▲
44.0%
52.0%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 08:37 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | John Beecher |