Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayden on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayden wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayden 43.3% vs Couturier 52.6% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 51.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 80.3%
Neutral zone
Couturier 67.5%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Hayden
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Hayden
Couturier
Last 7: Hayden 4-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Hayden
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayden
2
1
Hayden
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayden
2
1
Hayden
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayden
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (153)
52.5% (11,063)
-14.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
59.7% (1,280)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
48.5% (1,816)
+1.5%
On even strength, Couturier has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Hayden is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (127).
Hayden shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,245).
Home / Away
Hayden
Couturier
Home
33.8% (77)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
44.1% (93)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Hayden
Couturier
P1
42.2%
52.5%
P2
36.7%
52.6%
P3
39.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayden
46.0%▲
39.4%
39.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | John Hayden |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | John Hayden |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:02 | Neutral | John Hayden |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | John Hayden |