Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smithson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Madden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.8% vs Madden 50.9% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smithson 62.8%
Defensive zone
Smithson 86.3%
Neutral zone
Smithson 88.9%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Smithson
Madden
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Smithson
Madden
Last 5: Smithson 4-1 Madden
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
3
0
Smithson
Madden
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smithson
Madden
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Madden
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (778)
51.8% (815)
+8.0%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
60.7% (28)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (198)
45.0% (129)
+4.0%
On even strength, Smithson has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Madden shoots left. Smithson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Smithson shoots right. Madden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Smithson
Madden
Home
59.2% (534)
52.8% (527)
Away
55.5% (472)
49.0% (461)
By Period
Smithson
Madden
P1
56.1%
50.5%
P2
58.0%
52.0%
P3
58.6%
50.0%
OT
37.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
58.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.5%
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 15:57 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 02:20 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |