Scouting Report
John Madden holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.9% vs Chipchura 47.5% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chipchura 80.3%
Defensive zone
Madden 67.3%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 64.6%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 74.0%
26.0%
74.0%
Madden
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Madden
Chipchura
Last 5: Madden 1-4 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
3
Madden
Chipchura
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Madden
Chipchura
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (815)
46.9% (254)
+4.9%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
85.7% (7)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
33.3% (18)
+11.7%
On power play, Chipchura has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Madden is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Madden shoots left. Chipchura is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Madden
Chipchura
Home
52.8% (527)
48.7% (154)
Away
49.0% (461)
44.2% (129)
By Period
Madden
Chipchura
P1
50.5%
50.6%
P2
52.0%
42.6%
P3
50.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
51.0%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2011 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |