Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.3%). Look for Chipchura on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.6% vs Chipchura 50.3% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chipchura 55.7%
Defensive zone
Madden 61.5%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 50.8%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Madden
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Madden
Chipchura
Last 5: Madden 1-4 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
3
Madden
Chipchura
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Madden
Chipchura
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,083)
50.9% (2,100)
+0.3%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
45.7% (46)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (164)
45.0% (171)
+2.6%
On power play, Madden has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Madden is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Madden shoots left. Chipchura is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,553).
Home / Away
Madden
Chipchura
Home
52.7% (678)
50.7% (1,143)
Away
48.5% (623)
49.9% (1,179)
By Period
Madden
Chipchura
P1
51.5%
51.1%
P2
52.5%
50.3%
P3
47.6%
48.9%
OT
62.5%
78.6%
Final 5 min
50.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2011 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |