Scouting Report
John Madden holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Madden on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.9% vs Eller 43.9% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Madden 64.4%
Defensive zone
Madden 88.3%
Neutral zone
Madden 78.1%
Result
John Madden favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Madden
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Madden
Eller
Last 7: Madden 5-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Madden
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
4
1
Madden
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (815)
43.0% (402)
+8.8%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
16.7% (12)
+44.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
66.7% (6)
-21.7%
On power play, Madden has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Madden is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Madden shoots left. Eller is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Madden
Eller
Home
52.8% (527)
44.6% (184)
Away
49.0% (461)
40.9% (247)
By Period
Madden
Eller
P1
50.5%
45.3%
P2
52.0%
41.5%
P3
50.0%
39.9%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
51.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 10:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |