Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.5%). Look for Madden on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.6% vs Eller 50.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 51.7%
Defensive zone
Madden 52.0%
Neutral zone
Madden 50.3%
Result
John Madden favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Madden
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Madden
Eller
Last 7: Madden 5-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Madden
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
4
1
Madden
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,083)
51.1% (10,296)
+0.1%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
52.8% (621)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (164)
46.7% (1,751)
+0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Madden is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Madden shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Madden
Eller
Home
52.7% (678)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
48.5% (623)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Madden
Eller
P1
51.5%
51.2%
P2
52.5%
50.1%
P3
47.6%
50.2%
OT
62.5%
56.7%
Final 5 min
50.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 10:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |