Scouting Report
John Madden holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.9% vs Backlund 48.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 75.4%
Defensive zone
Madden 50.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 63.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Madden
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Madden
Backlund
Last 10: Madden 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Madden
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
2
1
Madden
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
6
Madden
Backlund
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (815)
48.9% (568)
+2.9%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
52.3% (44)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
32.7% (49)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Madden has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Madden is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Madden shoots left. Backlund is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Madden
Backlund
Home
52.8% (527)
50.8% (327)
Away
49.0% (461)
45.4% (337)
By Period
Madden
Backlund
P1
50.5%
53.0%
P2
52.0%
47.8%
P3
50.0%
43.8%
OT
62.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
51.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2011 | 1 | 15:15 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 19, 2011 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Nov 29, 2010 | 1 | 18:19 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |