Scouting Report
John Madden holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.6% vs Backlund 49.0% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 57.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 50.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Madden
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Madden
Backlund
Last 10: Madden 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Madden
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
2
1
Madden
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
6
Madden
Backlund
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,083)
49.7% (13,410)
+1.5%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
51.6% (1,336)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (164)
44.0% (2,446)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Madden has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Madden is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Madden shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Madden
Backlund
Home
52.7% (678)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
48.5% (623)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Madden
Backlund
P1
51.5%
48.5%
P2
52.5%
50.3%
P3
47.6%
48.4%
OT
62.5%
44.1%
Final 5 min
50.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2011 | 1 | 15:15 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 19, 2011 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Nov 29, 2010 | 1 | 18:19 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |