Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.9%). Look for Madden on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.9% vs Spaling 50.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 53.7%
Defensive zone
Madden 53.2%
Neutral zone
Spaling 54.7%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Madden
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Madden
Spaling
Last 5: Madden 5-0 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Madden
3
0
Madden
Spaling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
2
0
Madden
Spaling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (815)
51.6% (353)
+0.2%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
50.0% (8)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
49.3% (136)
-4.3%
On power play, Madden has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Madden is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Madden shoots left. Spaling is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Madden
Spaling
Home
52.8% (527)
49.2% (260)
Away
49.0% (461)
52.7% (237)
By Period
Madden
Spaling
P1
50.5%
55.2%
P2
52.0%
49.7%
P3
50.0%
47.7%
OT
62.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
51.0%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Madden |