Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 49.9%). Look for Madden on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.6% vs Spaling 49.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 56.6%
Defensive zone
Madden 58.3%
Neutral zone
Spaling 51.9%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Madden
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Madden
Spaling
Last 5: Madden 5-0 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Madden
3
0
Madden
Spaling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
2
0
Madden
Spaling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,083)
50.5% (2,263)
+0.7%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
43.4% (53)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (164)
48.0% (498)
-0.4%
On power play, Madden has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Madden is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Madden shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Home / Away
Madden
Spaling
Home
52.7% (678)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
48.5% (623)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Madden
Spaling
P1
51.5%
49.8%
P2
52.5%
48.3%
P3
47.6%
52.0%
OT
62.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Madden |