Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.6% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Madden 56.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 70.5%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 68.2%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Madden
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Madden
Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
1
0
Madden
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,083)
58.2% (4,334)
-7.0%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
65.4% (188)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (164)
54.8% (1,290)
-7.2%
On power play, Gaustad has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Madden is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Madden shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Madden
Gaustad
Home
52.7% (678)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
48.5% (623)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Madden
Gaustad
P1
51.5%
58.2%
P2
52.5%
56.4%
P3
47.6%
58.3%
OT
62.5%
66.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Madden |