Scouting Report
Philip McRae holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Madden on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.6% vs McRae 51.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McRae 64.1%
Defensive zone
Madden 77.8%
Neutral zone
Madden 51.2%
Result
John Madden favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Madden
McRae
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Madden
McRae
Last 8: Madden 4-4 McRae
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McRae
0
1
Madden
McRae
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
4
0
Madden
McRae
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McRae
0
3
Madden
McRae
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
McRae
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,083)
53.2% (62)
-2.0%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
50.0% (2)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McRae shoots left. Madden is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Madden shoots left. McRae is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Madden
McRae
Home
52.7% (678)
48.3% (29)
Away
48.5% (623)
57.1% (35)
By Period
Madden
McRae
P1
51.5%
58.3%
P2
52.5%
47.4%
P3
47.6%
52.4%
Final 5 min
50.2%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
McRae
48.0%▼
53.1%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 02:16 | Neutral | Philip McRae |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Philip McRae |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 04:53 | Neutral | Philip McRae |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 03:05 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Philip McRae |