Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 51.8%). Look for Madden on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.9% vs O'Reilly 51.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 53.9%
Defensive zone
Madden 51.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 55.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Madden
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Madden
O'Reilly
Last 9: Madden 6-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Madden
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
3
0
Madden
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
3
1
Madden
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (815)
53.4% (770)
-1.6%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
55.6% (54)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
44.4% (196)
+0.6%
On power play, Madden has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Madden is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Madden shoots left. O'Reilly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Madden
O'Reilly
Home
52.8% (527)
53.5% (533)
Away
49.0% (461)
50.0% (492)
By Period
Madden
O'Reilly
P1
50.5%
50.8%
P2
52.0%
52.4%
P3
50.0%
51.6%
OT
62.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
51.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 18:26 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 01:34 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 19:07 | Defensive | John Madden |