Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.6% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Madden leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 80.8%
Defensive zone
Madden 51.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 66.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Madden
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Madden
O'Reilly
Last 10: Madden 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Madden
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
3
1
Madden
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
3
1
Madden
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,083)
56.2% (15,260)
-5.0%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
58.8% (3,445)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (164)
51.4% (2,811)
-3.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Madden is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Madden shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Madden
O'Reilly
Home
52.7% (678)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
48.5% (623)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Madden
O'Reilly
P1
51.5%
55.6%
P2
52.5%
57.0%
P3
47.6%
55.1%
OT
62.5%
62.2%
Final 5 min
50.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 18:26 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 01:34 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 19:07 | Defensive | John Madden |