Scouting Report
John Madden holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.9% vs Oshie 45.9% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 88.1%
Defensive zone
Oshie 55.5%
Neutral zone
Oshie 71.6%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Madden
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Madden
Oshie
Last 6: Madden 1-5 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
3
Madden
Oshie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
2
Madden
Oshie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (815)
46.8% (186)
+5.0%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
25.0% (16)
+35.7%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
36.0% (25)
+9.0%
On power play, Madden has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Madden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Madden shoots left. Oshie is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Madden
Oshie
Home
52.8% (527)
47.2% (106)
Away
49.0% (461)
41.3% (121)
By Period
Madden
Oshie
P1
50.5%
55.6%
P2
52.0%
40.8%
P3
50.0%
37.5%
OT
62.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
51.0%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 11, 2011 | OT | 04:34 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |