Scouting Report
John Madden holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.6% vs Oshie 46.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 94.5%
Defensive zone
Madden 65.5%
Neutral zone
Oshie 70.1%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Madden
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Madden
Oshie
Last 6: Madden 1-5 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
3
Madden
Oshie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
2
Madden
Oshie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,083)
45.2% (764)
+6.0%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
47.7% (1,221)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (164)
40.2% (164)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Madden has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Madden is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Madden shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Madden
Oshie
Home
52.7% (678)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
48.5% (623)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Madden
Oshie
P1
51.5%
47.3%
P2
52.5%
45.2%
P3
47.6%
46.7%
OT
62.5%
40.8%
Final 5 min
50.2%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 11, 2011 | OT | 04:34 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |