Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.0%). Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 50.6% vs Mitchell 50.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 56.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 62.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.8%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Smith
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Smith
Mitchell
Last 6: Smith 2-4 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Smith
Mitchell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Mitchell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
3
Smith
Mitchell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (325)
50.6% (607)
+2.0%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
61.2% (49)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (54)
40.2% (92)
-5.0%
On power play, Smith has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Smith is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Smith shoots right. Mitchell is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Smith
Mitchell
Home
50.3% (181)
52.0% (406)
Away
51.2% (213)
47.7% (342)
By Period
Smith
Mitchell
P1
54.2%
51.6%
P2
44.4%
44.0%
P3
54.2%
55.0%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2014 | 3 | 11:06 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 3 | 10:53 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Ben Smith |