Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 52.4% vs Mitchell 50.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Helm 50.9%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 52.8%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 51.5%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Helm
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Helm
Mitchell
Last 10: Helm 4-6 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helm
2
1
Helm
Mitchell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
3
Helm
Mitchell
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
2
Helm
Mitchell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (330)
51.2% (666)
+4.0%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
45.5% (22)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (73)
48.9% (47)
-7.8%
On power play, Helm has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Helm is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Helm shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Helm
Mitchell
Home
53.3% (214)
51.7% (360)
Away
52.7% (207)
50.1% (375)
By Period
Helm
Mitchell
P1
52.5%
50.2%
P2
57.6%
49.4%
P3
47.7%
51.9%
OT
75.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
53.0%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 03:33 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Darren Helm |