Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.0% vs Mitchell 53.4% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 55.7%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 76.4%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 65.0%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Roy
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Roy
Mitchell
Last 5: Roy 3-2 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Mitchell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Mitchell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Mitchell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (380)
52.8% (125)
-8.9%
Power Play
52.8% (106)
25.0% (4)
+27.8%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
80.0% (20)
-24.7%
On power play, Roy has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Roy is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Roy shoots left. Mitchell is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Roy
Mitchell
Home
51.6% (283)
58.5% (82)
Away
40.4% (245)
52.2% (67)
By Period
Roy
Mitchell
P1
47.8%
59.3%
P2
41.1%
56.4%
P3
49.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 01:40 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Derek Roy |