Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Staal 55.3% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Mitchell 67.1%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 69.3%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 67.1%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Mitchell
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Mitchell
Staal
Last 10: Mitchell 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
5
Mitchell
Staal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Mitchell
Staal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
0
Mitchell
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
55.9% (14,620)
-4.1%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
62.7% (1,745)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
48.0% (2,896)
-3.9%
On power play, Staal has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Mitchell shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Staal
Home
54.4% (1,806)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Mitchell
Staal
P1
52.0%
55.2%
P2
49.9%
55.9%
P3
50.9%
54.9%
OT
69.2%
56.2%
Final 5 min
51.4%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |