Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 50.8% vs Thompson 52.5% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 50.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 65.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 57.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Mitchell
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Mitchell
Thompson
Last 6: Mitchell 5-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
3
0
Mitchell
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Mitchell
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (666)
54.4% (870)
-3.2%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
45.8% (24)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (47)
45.1% (162)
+3.8%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Mitchell shoots left. Thompson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Thompson
Home
51.7% (360)
55.3% (510)
Away
50.1% (375)
50.4% (546)
By Period
Mitchell
Thompson
P1
50.2%
53.5%
P2
49.4%
52.2%
P3
51.9%
52.7%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 20, 2015 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 20, 2015 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |