Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Thompson 52.9% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 50.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 71.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 57.3%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Mitchell
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Mitchell
Thompson
Last 8: Mitchell 5-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
3
1
Mitchell
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Mitchell
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
54.1% (5,812)
-2.3%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
54.8% (135)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
47.9% (1,381)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Mitchell shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Thompson
Home
54.4% (1,806)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Mitchell
Thompson
P1
52.0%
53.2%
P2
49.9%
52.9%
P3
50.9%
52.8%
OT
69.2%
47.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2016 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 20, 2015 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 20, 2015 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 15:03 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |