Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 60.6%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 95.2%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 87.7%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 90.7%
90.7%
9.3%
Mitchell
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Mitchell
Schmaltz
Last 5: Mitchell 4-1 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
1
Mitchell
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
41.2% (3,399)
+10.6%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
47.1% (649)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
47.8% (134)
-3.7%
On even strength, Mitchell has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Mitchell is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,264).
Mitchell shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Schmaltz
Home
54.4% (1,806)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Mitchell
Schmaltz
P1
52.0%
41.1%
P2
49.9%
42.9%
P3
50.9%
43.0%
OT
69.2%
42.4%
Final 5 min
51.4%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 02:34 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | John Mitchell |