Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Spooner 43.6% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spooner 85.8%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 55.8%
Neutral zone
Spooner 67.9%
Result
Ryan Spooner favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
Mitchell
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Mitchell
Spooner
Last 6: Mitchell 2-4 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spooner
0
2
Mitchell
Spooner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Mitchell
Spooner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
43.1% (1,540)
+8.7%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
46.3% (67)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
42.1% (19)
+2.0%
On even strength, Mitchell has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Mitchell shoots left. Spooner is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Spooner
Home
54.4% (1,806)
43.9% (779)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
42.6% (847)
By Period
Mitchell
Spooner
P1
52.0%
45.0%
P2
49.9%
46.2%
P3
50.9%
38.2%
OT
69.2%
35.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 16:36 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Oct 14, 2015 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Oct 14, 2015 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |