Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Horcoff 56.7%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 52.6%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 53.4%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Mitchell
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Mitchell
Horcoff
Last 10: Mitchell 7-3 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
4
5
Mitchell
Horcoff
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
3
1
Mitchell
Horcoff
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
2
5
Mitchell
Horcoff
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
50.6% (3,133)
+1.2%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
51.4% (555)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
43.0% (567)
+1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Mitchell shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Horcoff
Home
54.4% (1,806)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Mitchell
Horcoff
P1
52.0%
48.2%
P2
49.9%
49.5%
P3
50.9%
50.9%
OT
69.2%
51.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 1 | 14:48 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |