Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 50.0% vs Ott 53.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 64.0%
Defensive zone
Ott 62.8%
Neutral zone
Ott 67.2%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Mitchell
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Mitchell
Ott
Last 8: Mitchell 6-2 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
4
2
Mitchell
Ott
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Ott
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (607)
55.6% (583)
-5.0%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
57.0% (128)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (92)
47.1% (206)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Mitchell is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (457).
Mitchell shoots left. Ott is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Ott
Home
52.0% (406)
54.1% (512)
Away
47.7% (342)
53.6% (405)
By Period
Mitchell
Ott
P1
51.6%
53.3%
P2
44.0%
52.8%
P3
55.0%
56.1%
OT
42.9%
45.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.0%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 13:53 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | John Mitchell |