Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Ott 55.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Ott 65.7%
Defensive zone
Ott 75.1%
Neutral zone
Ott 67.8%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Mitchell
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Mitchell
Ott
Last 10: Mitchell 5-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mitchell
Ott
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
7
5
Mitchell
Ott
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Ott
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
57.2% (2,802)
-5.4%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
55.4% (567)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
49.9% (853)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Mitchell shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Ott
Home
54.4% (1,806)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Mitchell
Ott
P1
52.0%
56.7%
P2
49.9%
53.9%
P3
50.9%
55.7%
OT
69.2%
60.8%
Final 5 min
51.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 13:53 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | John Mitchell |