Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Kero 46.5% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 81.0%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 89.5%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 76.8%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Mitchell
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Mitchell
Kero
Last 7: Mitchell 6-1 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
4
1
Mitchell
Kero
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Kero
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
47.0% (668)
+4.8%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
42.9% (7)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
31.9% (47)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Mitchell shoots left. Kero is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Kero
Home
54.4% (1,806)
49.1% (332)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
43.3% (390)
By Period
Mitchell
Kero
P1
52.0%
47.6%
P2
49.9%
48.8%
P3
50.9%
40.9%
OT
69.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 13:07 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | John Mitchell |