Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 54.5% vs Seguin 50.9% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 66.0%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 70.2%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 71.6%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Mitchell
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Mitchell
Seguin
Last 6: Mitchell 4-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Mitchell
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (485)
51.1% (720)
+4.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
54.2% (59)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (41)
14.3% (7)
+36.9%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +36.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Mitchell is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Mitchell shoots left. Seguin is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Seguin
Home
61.9% (265)
52.0% (421)
Away
49.1% (273)
49.9% (365)
By Period
Mitchell
Seguin
P1
54.9%
50.8%
P2
56.8%
51.3%
P3
54.5%
51.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
55.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 11:38 | Neutral | John Mitchell |