Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Seguin 53.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 56.1%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 55.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Mitchell
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Mitchell
Seguin
Last 10: Mitchell 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
3
6
Mitchell
Seguin
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
4
2
Mitchell
Seguin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
Mitchell
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
53.7% (8,071)
-1.9%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
55.9% (810)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
49.3% (762)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Mitchell is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,264).
Mitchell shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Seguin
Home
54.4% (1,806)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Mitchell
Seguin
P1
52.0%
52.8%
P2
49.9%
53.3%
P3
50.9%
54.7%
OT
69.2%
54.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 11:38 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 14:44 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 05:59 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | John Mitchell |