Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. McDonald wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Tavares 54.4% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
McDonald 56.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 57.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
McDonald
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
54.0% (16,108)
+1.5%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
56.5% (4,283)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
50.6% (620)
-2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. McDonald is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (436).
McDonald shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
McDonald
Tavares
Home
54.9% (297)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
56.0% (366)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
McDonald
Tavares
P1
58.5%
55.0%
P2
52.5%
54.1%
P3
54.1%
54.1%
OT
73.7%
55.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%