Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 48.0% vs Tavares 51.2% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 54.4%
Defensive zone
Boyes 72.6%
Neutral zone
Boyes 57.5%
Result
Brad Boyes favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Boyes
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Boyes
Tavares
Last 5: Boyes 1-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
1
0
Boyes
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Boyes
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Boyes
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (246)
51.5% (1,232)
-4.8%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
51.1% (305)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
36.7% (30)
-36.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Boyes is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Boyes shoots right. Tavares is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Boyes
Tavares
Home
48.7% (113)
52.8% (781)
Away
46.1% (154)
49.9% (804)
By Period
Boyes
Tavares
P1
44.3%
52.8%
P2
48.9%
52.1%
P3
48.1%
48.7%
OT
100.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 14:52 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 09:45 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | John Tavares |