Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 51.3%). Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 51.7% vs Tavares 51.2% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 22-9 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 55.5%
Defensive zone
Richards 52.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 54.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Richards
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
22
(31 meetings)
9
22
Richards
Tavares
Last 10: Richards 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
8
Richards
Tavares
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
5
Richards
Tavares
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
9
Richards
Tavares
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,084)
51.5% (1,232)
+0.2%
Power Play
52.2% (180)
51.1% (305)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
36.7% (30)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Richards is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (866).
Richards shoots left. Tavares is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Richards
Tavares
Home
52.2% (668)
52.8% (781)
Away
51.4% (648)
49.9% (804)
By Period
Richards
Tavares
P1
50.1%
52.8%
P2
52.4%
52.1%
P3
52.9%
48.7%
OT
52.4%
63.6%
Final 5 min
47.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2012 | OT | 02:04 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 16:46 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 1 | 05:40 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 1 | 09:09 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 1 | 05:53 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 1 | 02:55 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 12:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 00:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Brad Richards |