Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Richardson wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 51.8% vs Tavares 50.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 73.5%
Defensive zone
Richardson 92.3%
Neutral zone
Richardson 66.3%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Richardson
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Richardson
Tavares
Last 8: Richardson 6-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richardson
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
5
0
Richardson
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Richardson
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (177)
48.7% (1,202)
+5.5%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
59.3% (305)
-34.3%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
47.9% (121)
+1.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +34.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Richardson is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Richardson shoots left. Tavares is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Home / Away
Richardson
Tavares
Home
48.5% (101)
52.1% (841)
Away
55.8% (129)
49.0% (787)
By Period
Richardson
Tavares
P1
45.5%
52.2%
P2
56.6%
50.7%
P3
54.5%
49.7%
OT
75.0%
37.9%
Final 5 min
53.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
52.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2016 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 21, 2016 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 21, 2016 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 21, 2016 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 21, 2016 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 21, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2016 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2016 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |